Updated Notes on San Diego County COVID-19 Cases

Updated Notes on San Diego County COVID-19 Cases

As we face calls to reopen San Diego on May 1st, including from our elected Board of Supervisor Kristin Gaspar and Mayor Paul McNamara, and opposition to California’s Stay-at-Home Order, here are some San Diego County COVID-19 related numbers to keep in mind:

In 7 days from April 26 to May 2, 2020 and even with our early & strict state and local public health orders, we had reported:
– 884 new positive cases (which account for ~22.5% of total cases and a peak since 3/29-4/4 which saw 807 new positive cases)
– 132 new hospitalization cases
– 39 new intensive care cases
– 28 new death cases

In one month in April (4/1-4/30) and even with our early & strict state and local public health orders, we had reported:
– 2,862 new positive cases (which account for ~75% of total cases as of May 1st)
– 634 new hospitalization cases
– 185 new intensive care cases
– 119 new death cases

On March 1, 2020, we had reported 1:
– 0 total positive cases
– 0 total death cases

By April 1, 2020 and even with our early & strict state and local public health orders, we had reported:
– 966 total positive cases (28 per 1000,000)
– 181 total hospitalization cases (5 per 1000,000)
– 70 total intensive care cases (2 per 1000,000)
– 16 total death cases (0.5 per 1000,000)

By May 1, 2020 and even with our early & strict state and local public health orders, we had reported:
– 3,842 total positive cases (117 per 1000,000)
– 811 total hospitalization cases (24 per 1000,000)
– 259 total intensive care cases (8 per 1000,000)
– 138 total death cases (4 per 1000,000)

Then compare with our national COVID-19 growth numbers where we had late, disparate and inconsistent nationwide public health orders:

Date 3/1 4/1 5/1
Total Positive Cases 89 212,692 (65 per 1000,000) 1,103,461 (336 per 1000,000)
Total Death Cases 2 4,780 (1 per 100,000) 64,943 (20 per 1000,000)

San Diego County publishes daily COVID-19 case numbers at their website along with media briefing slides and weekly surveillance report which track San Diego County’s progress in meeting the 5 federal criteria and 6 key statewide indicators for easing our local public COVID-19 health measures.

But San Diego County is not there yet. We currently do not have the testing capability to test all our priority groups nor pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic people for COVID-19. We have only 59,878 reported tests out of a population of 3,370,418 million in SDC (1.7%).

Reopening early before we are ready will likely result in outbreaks and an increase in COVID-19 cases (as may be indicated in the last 2 weeks in April).

Please contact Supervisor Kristin Gaspar, the rest of the Board of Supervisors, Mayor Paul McNamara and the Escondido City Council and tell them that you support Governor Newsom and California Department of Health’s 4-stages and 6-key indicators plan to re-open California. Tell them that you believe San Diego County should not ease our local public COVID-19 health measures until we meet both the 5 federal criteria and 6 key statewide indicators.

Rate of COVID-19 Positive Cases per 100,000 Population

As of May 3, 2020 Total Positive COVID-19 Cases Rate per 100,000 Population
Escondido 124 81.9
San Diego County 3,318 117.5
California 53,655 135.8
United States 1,132,917 345.1
South Korea 2 10,781 21.0
World 3,427,660 43.9

New COVID-19 Case Summary in San Diego County by Month

New COVID-19 Case Summary in San Diego County by Month
New COVID-19 Case Summary in San Diego County by Month
Month February 1 March April
New Positive Cases 0 849 2862
New Hospitalizations 0 158 634
New Intensive Care 0 65 185
New Death 0 15 119

New COVID-19 Case Summary in San Diego County by Week

New COVID-19 Case Summary in San Diego County by Week
New COVID-19 Case Summary in San Diego County by Week
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Date 3/1-3/7 3/8-3/14 3/15-3/21 3/22-3/28 3/29-4/4 4/5-4/11 4/12-4/18 4/19-4/25 4/26-5/2
New Positive Cases 1 24 118 376 807 478 464 775 884
New Hospitalizations 0 12 29 65 143 166 137 144 132
New Intensive Care 0 0 15 32 47 58 29 46 39
New Death 0 0 1 6 12 26 26 40 28

Total COVID-19 Case Summary in San Diego County 1

Total COVID-19 Case Summary in San Diego County
Total COVID-19 Case Summary in San Diego County
Date 2/29 3/1 3/2 3/3 3/4 3/5 3/6 3/7 3/8 3/9 3/10 3/11 3/12 3/13 3/14 3/15 3/16 3/17 3/18 3/19 3/20 3/21 3/22 3/23 3/24 3/25 3/26 3/27 3/28 3/29 3/30 3/31 4/1 4/2 4/3 4/4 4/5 4/6 4/7 4/8 4/9 4/10 4/11 4/12 4/13 4/14 4/15 4/16 4/17 4/18 4/19 4/20 4/21 4/22 4/23 4/24 4/25 4/26 4/27 4/28 4/29 4/30 5/1 5/2
New Positive Cases 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 1 5 9 6 12 13 9 11 30 18 25 54 35 51 58 76 71 31 84 131 115 117 146 97 117 78 50 76 98 65 68 43 43 83 82 75 71 55 55 57 109 57 152 183 117 100 98 173 118 132 147 131 85
Total Positive Cases 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 4 5 10 19 25 37 50 59 70 100 118 143 197 232 283 341 417 488 519 603 734 849 966 1112 1209 1326 1404 1454 1530 1628 1693 1761 1804 1847 1930 2012 2087 2158 2213 2268 2325 2434 2491 2643 2826 2943 3043 3141 3314 3432 3564 3711 3842 3927
Total Hospitalizations 12 10 10 11 13 27 34 41 37 45 59 69 85 96 106 118 136 158 181 211 228 249 269 289 316 348 374 396 415 429 450 488 507 524 537 552 562 592 611 634 658 683 696 706 733 761 773 792 811 828
Total Intensive Care 15 18 21 29 31 38 42 47 51 56 65 70 85 89 94 102 109 122 132 140 144 152 156 164 173 181 181 187 181 189 199 206 213 218 225 227 230 238 241 244 250 259 266
Total Death 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 5 7 7 7 9 15 16 17 18 19 19 31 36 40 44 45 45 47 53 60 63 70 71 71 72 87 96 100 102 111 111 113 118 120 124 134 138 139

Update Logs

  1. Not including reported non-San Diego County and federal quarantine resident cases in San Diego County ↩ ↩ ↩
  2. South Korea and U.S. reported their 1st COVID-19 case on the same date in Jan. 20, 2020 while California reported its 1st case 5 days later on Jan. 25, 2020. ↩
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